Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 5.915767 6.511731 7.146675 7.874377 8.686415 9.565906 10.592194
2025-11-30 4.988840 5.820907 6.766997 7.926173 9.313301 10.926243 12.952986
2025-12-07 4.234273 5.185803 6.328302 7.809797 9.692541 12.021863 15.147428
2025-12-14 3.627857 4.628720 5.887371 7.601021 9.895790 12.894268 17.160801
2025-12-21 3.216175 4.253131 5.611357 7.542498 10.252986 13.974824 19.564263
2025-12-28 2.968529 4.055837 5.534073 7.721710 10.929810 15.545712 22.843789
2026-01-04 2.752938 3.872799 5.447168 7.863257 11.551408 17.092158 26.283747
2026-01-11 2.539095 3.666116 5.298720 7.887524 11.985940 18.391411 29.500748
2026-01-18 2.331151 3.445194 5.103016 7.810809 12.242319 19.424632 32.405852
2026-01-25 2.143784 3.236299 4.902605 7.699472 12.419799 20.334136 35.205135
2026-02-01 1.978083 3.045239 4.710366 7.577079 12.556740 21.177219 37.984714
2026-02-08 1.832873 2.873679 4.532627 7.457613 12.678774 21.996499 40.818571
2026-02-15 1.711806 2.733968 4.398815 7.406563 12.927785 23.095821 44.408098
2026-02-22 1.639774 2.669427 4.384457 7.562448 13.569683 25.005862 49.936143
2026-03-01 1.538637 2.547373 4.261200 7.509451 13.812684 26.176314 54.107063
2026-03-08 1.428768 2.401652 4.084405 7.339708 13.809490 26.852299 57.304564
2026-03-15 1.349126 2.302739 3.982245 7.299463 14.055070 28.062306 61.899284
2026-03-22 1.307902 2.269120 3.995078 7.481023 14.769840 30.351576 69.423212
2026-03-29 1.264066 2.227181 3.988538 7.622452 15.414857 32.570872 77.177915
2026-04-05 1.208757 2.159776 3.928259 7.648488 15.813044 34.283989 83.958053
2026-04-12 1.145850 2.073580 3.825131 7.575760 15.984008 35.489689 89.617416
2026-04-19 1.083916 1.985062 3.710881 7.468907 16.065427 36.490652 94.901449
2026-04-26 1.025458 1.899479 3.596303 7.351005 16.108153 37.401494 100.102941